Yeah I honestly don't think we are getting a second microsoft rep in the same pass, that just doesn't sound likely to me, specially when looking back at pass 1 being all different companies each pack of the pass (and honestly I rather have them keep it that way, it's more interesting and more variety in the end). SE and Microsoft clearly negotiated their characters of both passes since the very beginning, as I don't see them meeting twice in different times. Pretty sure they decided both passes characters of theirs in one meeting long ago. Their characters were big enough for both regions and were considered and positioned as the pass sellers, which is why we get them no later than the middle of the pass, to ensure those pass sales, as that's something they clearly want to sell, the pass, rather than just the individual characters. As much as I liked the idea of Chief myself, and as much as I accepted how much sense Crash makes to join smash, I don't see big figures joining these late in the last 2 slots, I think we would've seen one of them be in Min Min's position instead and have Min Min later on in one of these last 2 spots if that was the case. That's just how I see it anyway, don't mind me. I will definitely take those surprises either way if they do happen somehow.
Personally, I think Shantae has a good chance because she has had a tremendous push for years now, and it won't stop looking weird to me that they only picked 2 spirits for her series when Wayforward most likely sent them way more than that, when Nintendo asked them to send them material and they would see what they come up with (at that time Wayforward wasn't even aware of Spirits, as they confirmed it themselves in an interview). Of course, just like any character with big demand, it's always a 50/50 chances anyways, because it's all down to what Nintendo decided among many other characters they could've considered. I personally would love that one indie character does make it as a fighter and not just as far as a mii or a spirit. I can only hope that the people within Nintendo and Sora team, shared the same vision of Reggie, that indie developers are the future and are just as valuable to gaming overall. Here's to just hoping it happens
As for the remaining other slot, I could go into why I want and expect one of the other 2 characters in my pfp, but that will be a long wall of off topic text in this thread, and I don't wanna do that, lol.