What character isn't as guaranteed as people think. An example that I could have is Mewtwo since he doesn't have the best track record of staying in the roster.
I wanted to save this for my upcoming first party priority prediction list, but with recent discussion, Palutena and Falco come to mind. I've seen people say speculators emphasize there may be a lotof cuts but ignore most low priority possibilities that aren't Pichu/Young Link, and don't consider chars in the wider context of the vet roster. I don't agree, but if you wanted to prove it, Palu/Falco are probably the best examples where a lot say they're safe just 'cause they're "popular" and not much else.
It's, like these ppl insist, cuts have to start somewhere, and after Corrin, Doc, Plant, Pichu, who’s next? Knowing Sakurai, not single-fighter IP (Mac, R.O.B., Wii Fit, etc.), and not supporting characters from active Switch-era series. That pretty much just leaves secondary characters from smaller/inactive IP as the next ones... so characters like Falco and Palutena. Not 'cause they don't have merits, but because they're competeting with other merited characters and with more limited vet space, it becomes harder to justify prioritizing supplementals from dormant series, when it comes at the expense of the aforementioned groups.
I struggle to see them outside the bottom 15-20 priorities of first parties; any more requires cutting into characters that they really have no business being here over. Now granted I'll contradict myself by saying that they probably won't need to cut that many first party characters, so all things considered they'll likely stay, but 15 is about the upper half of where I can see cuts landing.
And to those who'll inevitably argue; what 20 (non-echo) first parties would you prioritize Falco/Palu over? I feel like that question needs to be asked more.
In Smash 4, he was an early unlock. These are usually saved for characters that are "obvious." It was no secret that Falco was returning.
I'm gonna echo SPEN, using him being a early unlock in Smash 4 as proof of high priority feels like a reach. Wasn't Dr. Mario an early unlock in Melee? I don't think there's anything that really suggests his priority level in Smash 4. I agree he was prolly high priority in Brawl, but that Brawl priority was also almost two decades and 50 characters ago, when Star Fox was still active VS now. Things have changed a lot for Nintendo since then.
I also agree he's prolly gonna be kept over Wolf, but I don't think that's much of a flex either; it gives him a scapegoat, but they're still both secondary dormant IP characters and the difference I imagine is like, bottom 5 VS bottom 15.