If we don't see Smash in the direct, at very least i think it we getting Smash 6 is probably more likely than Ultimate Deluxe, as MK8D got anounced on the Switch 1 Direct iirc.
Even if we're getting Smash 6, i think April 2025 isn't that early to anounce if the game's coming out in late 2026, tbh, specially they could have dialy updates like DOJO or Pic of the Day.
The very idea of even
entertaining Ultimate Deluxe even has a shred of likeliness is hilarious, to be honest.
And using Mario Kart 8 is also not really the best comparison. Yes, it's a game from a previous console thrown into the launch year as a port... but that's about where the similarities end.
Mario Kart 8 is the most successful Wii U game, yes, but the Wii U was their biggest failure since the Virtual Boy and the Switch isn't backwards compatible with its games. Meanwhile, Ultimate is
the best-selling fighting game ever created (a title that was previously held by Street Fighter II for
25 years), a top 3 best-seller for the Switch, said console ushered in Nintendo's most successful era
ever in its long history and also, Switch 2 is compatible with Switch 1 games.
The situations behind these two games could not possibly be more different and shouldn't be compared imo.
Most people who would want Ultimate already own it at this point. I'm shocked people still genuinely believe a port is in the cards.